Goals per game

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Week 26 preview

Predicted goals scored:


TeamScored
houston3.5
portland3.4
columbus3.1
RSL3.0
LA2.7
Seattle2.2
dallas2.2
philadelphia2.1
new england1.6
dcu1.6
chicago1.5
toronto1.5
colorado1.4
chivas1.1
kansas city1.1
San Jose1.0
new york0.9
Vancouver0.4


Predicted goals allowed:



TeamAllowed 
LA0.4 
columbus0.62.1
philadelphia0.8 
dallas0.9 
houston1.02.2
RSL1.1 
chicago1.1 
toronto1.4 
colorado1.5 
chivas1.5 
Seattle1.6 
portland1.6 
new york2.2 
dcu2.2 
Vancouver2.7 
San Jose2.9 
kansas city3.0 
new england3.4


Team of the week:
Hesmer
Franklin, Williams, John, Freeman
Davis, Jewsbury, Donovan, Rogers
Espindola, Montero
Subs: Ricketts, Borchers, Beckerman, Mendoza

Captains:


Davis – Davis is second in the league in assists this season. Houston are predicted to score over three goals combined in their two games away at a suddenly leaky Columbus and home against San Jose.

Jewsbury – Portland hosts a New England side who have been looking a lot better of late. But so have Portland, and Jewsbury’s set pieces and PK duty always give him the chance to score fantasy points.

Espindola – With Saborio suddenly looking interested again, it makes Espindola a better fantasy option. I simply couldn’t list Saborio in my team of the weak after his play-acting last week, but he would be a fine pick too.

Montero – Montero certainly hasn’t had the season that many expected of him after his highly productive first two seasons in MLS. For some reason, I am predicting Montero to bag a goal this week instead of just pull the strings linking up with Fernandez and Rosales.

Franklin – Franklin has been playing out of position the last couple games. He has performed decently well as an outside midfielder and has the bonus of potential clean sheet points. Franklin didn’t even travel to Morelia, so expect him to start against Vancouver.

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Week 25 deadline mix-up

We are again presented with the opportunity to take advantage of ESPN's lack of professionalism with respect to the MLS fantasy game. The deadline is set for Friday's game, but we have a game between Philadelphia and New England that takes place before that happens. This time, we should all have plenty of substitutions remaining to take full advantage of any big-points scorers that happen in the Wednesday game. I, for one, intend to exploit this to the full extent.

Update:

Looks like they fixed it and didn't allow the deadline to go until the scheduled deadline. Unfortunately for me I was counting on having another 2 days to figure out my team, so I hadn't made my intended transfers for the week.

Week 25 Preview

Doubles:

Philadephia and New England face off Wednesday to make this week’s only two teams with a double. Based on the stats below (and general wisdom) Philadelphia is the team to own from the two. Philadelphia is rated as both the top team for offensive and defensive prospects. Philadelphia is predicted to keep two clean sheets and score more than four goals this week.

Predicted goals scored:


TeamGoals scored
philadelphia4.4
columbus3.7
new york3.3
new england2.5
LA2.4
San Jose2.1
kansas city1.9
Seattle1.8
dallas1.8
chicago1.4
chivas1.3
dcu0.9
RSL0.8
Vancouver0.8
toronto0.7
houston0.7
colorado0.6
portland0.5


Predicted goals allowed:



TeamGoals Allowed 
philadelphia0.50.9
LA0.6 
kansas city0.7 
columbus0.7 
new york0.8 
Seattle0.8 
chivas0.9 
dcu1.3 
San Jose1.4 
dallas1.5 
new england1.82.1
RSL1.8 
houston1.9 
chicago2.1 
portland2.3 
colorado2.4 
Vancouver3.3 
toronto3.7



No less than seven teams are predicted to keep clean sheets this week, with Philly predicted to keep two. I don’t remember ever being so spoilt for choice on the defensive end in MLS fantasy. It will be interesting to see how many of these actually end up as clean sheets as more teams become desperate for points and bunker in on the road or open up at home as the playoff deadline looms.

Team of the week:


Saunders
Williams, Franklin, Besler, Miranda
Joseph, Lindpere, Ekpo, Donovan
Henry, Le Toux
Subs: Nielsen, Wahl, Richards, Mendoza

Captains:

Le Toux – I called my hunch on Le Toux last week, and even though the easier of his two games were called off, he still produced. Two extremely favorable games for Philly should provide Seba with plenty of chances to increase his fantasy haul.

Williams – Even without Mondragon, I like the Union’s chances at picking up at least one clean sheet this week. Add on the attacking nature of Williams, two games, and you have a good shot at getting some fantasy returns.

Henry – MLS’s leading goal scorer up to this point and New York are predicted to score about three this weekend. It’s difficult to look past him.

Joseph – Even though New England’s returns look meager, I would still back Shalrie this week, if for no reason other than a double.

Mendoza – Columbus are predicted to score more than three goals this week as well. I really have trouble trying to pick an offensive standout for the Crew, but I guess I’ll go with Mendoza.

Saturday, September 3, 2011

5-week preview: weeks 25-29

It's do or die time folks. We have just six gameweeks left remaining to catch those leaders (or hold off the challengers). I've updated the upcoming doubles and blanks page and also the goals scored/allowed page to help you make your decisions for the run-in.

Here's the upcoming 5-week totals for goals scored and allowed for each team, complete with predicted clean sheets and games played.



TeamTotal scoredGames
new york15.98
columbus14.47
philadelphia12.47
LA11.56
kansas city10.46
RSL10.37
chivas9.46
Seattle9.25
dcu9.17
San Jose9.16
portland8.86
dallas8.85
chicago8.76
houston8.26
colorado7.75
new england7.36
Vancouver5.95
toronto5.15





TeamAverage AllowedClean Sheets
columbus1.25
chivas0.94
LA0.94
new york1.24
philadelphia1.24
kansas city1.43
dallas1.12
Seattle1.42
chicago1.51
colorado1.71
RSL2.11
Vancouver2.41
dcu1.60
houston1.70
new england2.10
portland2.20
San Jose2.20
toronto2.60

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Week 24 Preview

Predicted goals scored:


Teamscored
kansas city3.9
portland3.8
philadelphia3.1
dcu3.1
chivas3.0
RSL2.6
LA2.3
Seattle1.9
new york1.8
Vancouver1.8
toronto1.5
chicago1.5
colorado1.1
houston1.0
dallas1.0
San Jose1.0
new england0.9
columbus0.7

Predicted goals conceded:


Teamallowed 
chivas0.52.8
Seattle0.7 
philadelphia0.92.1
RSL1.01.2
dcu1.0 
kansas city1.01.0
toronto1.0 
Vancouver1.0 
chicago1.1 
new york1.3 
colorado1.5 
San Jose1.5 
LA1.51.8
portland1.83.1
houston1.8 
columbus1.9 
new england2.1 
dallas2.3

Team of the week:

Nielson
Pearce, Williams, Beltran, Kitchen
Zusi, Jewsbury, De Rosario, LaBrocca
Kamara, Le Toux
Subs: Keller, Franklin, Donovan, Saborio

Captains:


Zusi – Another double for Kansas City. I backed him last week and he paid it back in kind with two goals. It seems like every week I include him in my team of the week, he produces results for us.

Jewsbury – Another double for Portland too. He continues to be one of the players that you must be playing every week, despite where his team sits in the standings.

Le Toux – I have gut feelings every now and again. This is one of those times. I might give Seba the armband this week.

De Rosario – DC have a home game against an inconsistent and often leaky Portland defense.

La Brocca – He has been the surprise performer of the season for me. He continues to contribute in big ways for Chivas and it is producing fantasy results for us too.

Monday, August 22, 2011

Week 24 Doubles

This week sees six teams with doubles. None of them look all that appealing to me, but as always, two games in a week is better than one. I’ve been away on vacation all weekend and haven’t been able to watch a single game yet, so I may comment on someone who has been injured or picked up a red card… sorry.

Chivas:
at Portland and vs. Salt Lake

Chivas have recently acquired Juan Pablo Angel and moved his stuff across the hall from the Galaxy locker room. He was a huge flop in LA, but I can see him doing better for Chivas. Especially if he is given spot-kick privileges (which is why he was so valuable in the fantasy game when he was in a Red Bull uniform). He scored in his debut (after the rest of this article was written) but I haven’t had a chance to watch the game yet to see how he played.

The away game at Portland is more likely to yield results for the offensive options (LaBrocca, Angel) but the home game against Salt Lake is actually rated as the most likely to yield a clean sheet out of any team this week.

Philadelphia:
vs. New England and at Salt Lake

Philadelphia is the team to load up on this week. A home game against New England has been something to look forward to this season, as the Revs have been the worst defense on the road for any team not from Canada. I backed Le Toux a few weeks ago and he bagged two, both from the penalty spot. The addition of Adu gives the Union more attacking options and makes them cup contenders in my eyes. As they have been most of this season, the defense continues to look like a good picky for fantasy managers. Williams is still my pick of the bunch, but play any and all of them this week.

Portland: at Chivas and vs. DCU

Portland has the two easiest opponents this week, but they’ve been so inconsistent this year that it is tough to find any fantasy options not named Jack. There really isn’t a whole lot to say about the Timbers when it comes to fantasy. They’ve been too inconsistent to back anyone else but Jewsbury since he’s on spot kicks and set pieces.

Salt Lake:
at Chivas and vs. Philadelphia

Salt Lake have been quite the let down for fantasy managers this season. Their injury-plagued season has left us with few options on the attacking side of the ball. Saborio and Espindola are both back to fitness and could start producing again. I don’t rate any of their midfielders highly for fantasy points, but if I had to pick one I guess I’d go with Beckerman. The defense, on the other hand, is as solid as ever and is the real place to look for investment. Rimando, Beltran, Wingert, Borchers, and Olave have all produced points for us this season and I expect at least one clean sheet this week.

Kansas City:
vs. Dallas and vs. LA

The Sporks have the most difficult fixtures of the week. However, I can see them coming out of the week with 4 points. I think the games will both be low scoring and could end up 1-0 or 2-1. Zusi and Kamara are the players I would go with from this side. Kamara seems to be the forward least likely to be rotated, as he often finds himself out on the wing. Besler is the pick for the defense as he has the opportunity to chip in the odd assist.

LA: at New York and at Kansas City

LA keeps on getting results and stand 6 points clear in the supporters shield race. However, they will face two high-powered offenses this week, both on the road. I don’t see LA keeping a clean sheet this week, and the stats show them conceding in each game too. The stats don’t look promising for their offense either, as they are predicted to score just one goal in each game.

New signing, Robbie Keane, scored one on the weekend. Again, I haven’t had the opportunity to watch the game yet to see how he played otherwise. Perhaps one of my loyal readers could chime in with a comment?

Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Week 23 Preview

Predicted goals scored


TeamScored
kansas city4.4
portland3.9
chicago3.2
new england2.7
LA2.5
dcu2.5
colorado2.3
houston2.2
new york1.7
columbus1.6
dallas1.5
chivas1.3
Vancouver1.0
toronto1.0
philadelphia1.0
Seattle0.7
RSL0.6
San Jose0.5


Predicted goals conceded


TeamAllowed 
kansas city0.51.2
LA0.5 
houston0.61.2
dallas0.7 
new england0.81.7
columbus1.0 
chicago1.01.3
portland1.02.5
dcu1.21.9
colorado1.3 
RSL1.4 
Seattle1.5 
new york1.5 
philadelphia1.6 
toronto2.1 
chivas2.3 
San Jose2.5 
Vancouver3.4



Team of the week:


Hall
Besler, Franklin, Soares, Segares
Zusi, Jewsbury, Donovan, DeRosario
Kamara, Oduro
Subs: Nielson, Ihemelu, Sanna Nyassi, Perlaza

Captains:


Jewsbury – Portland host Vancouver in a Cascadia Derby match (on a related, but non-fantasy note: I’m excited to see what the TA tifo is) on top of a trip to Kansas City. As always, Jewsbury is the offensive pick from Portland.

Kamara – Kansas City host both Portland and DCU. You can’t ask for much better offensive fixtures than this in the same week. Of course there’s rotation risk in the Sporting frontline, but Kamara should get at least 120 minutes.

Zusi – See above. Add in the threat of set pieces and a bit less rotation risk, and you have some potential for points.

Donovan – I said it a few weeks ago, but Donovan has by far the highest points per game out of any player. A predicted goals scored of 2.5 for LA against rivals San Jose looks like a decent prospect for Donovan.

De Rosario – Two games for DeRo will provide him with ample opportunity to expand upon his last 2 fantastic gameweeks. He’s the second highest scoring player in terms of PPG, and should always be considered for the armband when DC has a favorable week.