Thursday, March 8, 2012

Week 1 preview

It's finally here! The MLS season is just hours away now which means we have only last minute tinkering to do.

Doubles and Blanks
We don't have any doubles this week but there's three blanks to watch out for. Seattle, Toronto, and Chicago are all off this week. Seattle's players have the most ownership, but there are a few bright spots in the other sides. At any rate, with so many transfers available, we can afford to hold off on owning players from these teams until next week.

Predicted goals allowed


TeamGoals allowed
LA0.68
Chivas0.88
Colorado0.94
FCD0.94
Vancouver1.00
Houston1.18
San Jose1.18
Portland1.24
New York1.38
DCU1.41
Philadelphia1.41
RSL1.44
Montreal1.47
Columbus1.50
Kansas City1.53
New England1.71
ChicagoX
SeattleX
TFCX

These stats are based on last year's performance and they should just be used as the baseline and you can personally adjust them based on how each team's offseason went. For example, LA lost Gonzalez and their starting center back will be a rookie. They've been giving up goals on set-pieces this preseason so there's a decent chance their defense will be worse than last season.

Predicted goals scored


TeamGoals scored
San Jose1.71
DCU1.53
Colorado1.50
Vancouver1.46
LA1.44
Kansas City1.41
Portland1.41
FCD1.38
Montreal1.25
Philadelphia1.24
Chivas1.18
New England1.18
Columbus0.94
Houston0.94
New York0.94
RSL0.68
ChicagoX
SeattleX
TFCX

Team of the week
Saunders
Beitashour, Loyd, Jazic, Kimura
De Rosario, Chiumiento, Shea, Donovan
Wondolowski, Kamara
Subs: Kennedy, Boswell, Jewsbury, Hassli

Captain Choices
Wondolowski - San Jose are predicted to score the most goals by a good margin. Wondolowski is the leading man and now that he has Lenhart back up front to do the dirty work for him, he should be freed up to create. San Jose's midfield has also improved to give more supply to Wondo.

DeRosario - Last season's MVP and leading fantasy scorer. DCU are predicted to score the second most goals. You can always feel okay about giving the armband to DeRo.

Chiumiento - Vancouver's attack has improved and Chiumiento is their creative force. I'm not positive who will be the biggest beneficiary of Vancouver's attacking haul this season, but Chiumiento should always be in the mix.

Donovan - Donovan has a much better frontline to provide for this season. It will be interesting to see if The Bruce gives a bit more leeway to allow for more attacking play.

Beitashour - San Jose have a decent chance of keeping a clean sheet against New England, who should have another rough season. Beitashour averaged an assist every 236 minutes last season. Lenhart's return means he has an even better target and could very well notch assists at an improved rate.

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