Thursday, March 29, 2012

Week 4 preview

Doubles and blanks
Houston is our unlucky blank this week. There's a lot of people who own their defense and of course Brad Davis is a big draw. They actually have two blanks in a row, so now is a good time to bail on them since they're on the extended road trip.

Predicted goals scored


TeamGoals scored
LA1.8
Seattle1.7
New York1.7
DCU1.6
Philadelphia1.6
Portland1.5
Colorado1.5
FCD1.4
TFC1.3
Chivas1.2
RSL1.1
Columbus1.1
Kansas City1.1
Chicago1.1
San Jose1.1
Montreal1.0
Vancouver0.9
New England0.9
Houston

LA comes in as frontrunner this week. Be wary though, as Donovan is a risk not to play with an injury. Buddle, Keane, and Beckham are still good picks though. Seattle and New York also have good fixtures so there are plenty of offensive options between our top 3 teams to fill our rosters.

Predicted goals allowed


TeamGoals allowed
New York0.8
LA0.9
Philadelphia0.9
Seattle1.1
Colorado1.1
Chivas1.1
TFC1.1
Portland1.1
Kansas City1.2
Columbus1.3
DCU1.4
Chicago1.5
RSL1.5
Vancouver1.6
FCD1.6
Montreal1.7
San Jose1.7
New England1.8
Houston

New York come in as the most likely team to keep a clean sheet this weekend. Solli and Miller are both great attacking backs who get up the line frequently. LA will continue to rank highly for the next several weeks before I switch over to using only this year's data. I'm not convinced they're an elite defense this year, but still better than average. Philly is also riding their success of last season, and I wouldn't own any player from Philly on either side of the ball.

Team of the week
Gspurning
Solli, Dunivant, Jazic, Kimura
Fernandez, Beckham, Lindpere, De Rosario
Keane, Henry
Subs: Kennedy, Burch, Jewsbury, Montero

Captain choices
1. Keane
2. Henry
3. De Rosario
4. Fernandez
5. Solli

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